Kub Lag Luam Kub Volatility Kub Yuav Rho Tawm

Lub Koom Haum Ntiaj Teb (WGC) ntseeg hais tias yog tias ntiaj teb kev lag luam loj hlob ceev ceev los yog pheej hmoo cov cuab yeej poob qis, qhov pib nkag rau hauv kev lag luam kub kuj yuav piv rau cov neeg thaum xyoo 2008-2009.

Kub lub sij hawm tsis ntev los no tau zoo siab heev, tab sis qee cov tub ua lag luam muaj kev txhawj xeeb txog kev ruaj ntseg ntawm txoj kev cia siab.

World Gold Council (WGC) ntseeg hais tias geopolitical uncertainties yuav tsis muaj feem ntau rau kub nqi hauv 2019. Tab sis, vim tias kev lag luam loj zuj zus, cov hlau zoo nkauj yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb tiv thaiv cuab tam.

John Reade, chief market strategist hauv WGC, cav tias muaj peev xwm nyob rau hauv lub lag luam kub, vim hais tias raws li kev lag luam thiab geopolitical uncertainties nyob rau hauv 2019 yuav ua rau nyiaj txiag lag luam volatility, investors yuav muaj tsawg tus tiv thaiv cov cuab tam xaiv los ntawm.

Nws piav qhia hais tias feem ntau ntawm 2018, cov tub ua lag luam tau nrhiav "nyab xeeb hav" nyob rau hauv cov duas thiab cov lag luam Tshuag lag luam. Txawm li cas los xij, thaum peb tsiv mus rau xyoo 2019, cov kev lag luam hauv lub khw yuav pib hloov qeeb.

Reade tau hais nyob rau hauv nws daim ntawv qhia txog kev tsim tawm xyoo 2019: "Kub yog qhov khoom muaj nqis, muaj cuab kav ua kua uas muaj peev xwm ua kom muaj zog rov qab, nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib txawv, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum lwm cov khoom lag luam poob. -term kev ua tau zoo ntawm cov ntaub ntawv sau tseg. "

Txawm li cas los xij, nws tsis yog lub diversification ntawm tus tswv khw muag khoom lag luam uas yuav tsav nqi kub nce ntxiv rau xyoo tom ntej. Reade hais tias qhov nce ntxiv hauv central bank tuav kuj yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj.

Tsaib no, lub tsev txhab nyiaj tau nce lawv cov kub nyhiab ntawm tus nqi tshaj plaws hauv ze li ntawm peb xyoos. Raws li WGC cov ntaub ntawv, central ntug dej thoob ntiaj teb tau nce lawv cov nyiaj ntawm 341,3 tons ntawm xyoo tas los. Nyob rau hauv 2018, Russia, Qaib ntxhw thiab Kazakhstan kuj tau nce lawv cov kub reserves, thiab Polish central bank tau koom lub qib, nce nws kub reserves los ntawm 13,7 tons mus rau 116.7 tons. Hungary lub central bank lub kub reserves surged 10 zaug rau 31.5 tons. Nyob rau thawj yim lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo no, Mongolian Central Bank tau nce nws 12.2 tons kub.

Reade hais tias: "Cov neeg tswj cov khoom muaj nqis ntawm cov chaw hauv plawv yog paub tias feem ntau ntawm lawv cov khoom txauv txawv teb chaws yog hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, yog tias koj tab tom nrhiav lwm cov nyiaj, kuv xav tias kub zoo dua li nws tau 10 los sis 15 xyoo dhau los. Yog tias koj saib lwm cov txiaj ntsig zoo, lawv txhua tus muaj teeb meem.

Reade ntxiv hais tias nws xav tias central bank'gold reserves mus txuas ntxiv kom loj hlob los ntawm 2019.